Via my Amazon-/Microsoft-/VC-praised AI-preneurship (mAIP), I identified a threat to many/most people (T2M) that’s taking shape at the intersection of: 1) ongoing advances in molecular-genetics...
…research that imperil ~78 million psychopaths, 2) global kleptocracy, 3) Donald Trump, 4) his supporters. Via my finders’-fee offer (mFFO), you can profit and be much safer.
[4/27 update: If you’re visiting this page via my one-page pdf, you should read the supplements to the one-pager before reading the below.]
Details (237-page pdf):
Excerpt:
Re: said praise
Links to the praise are on pp. 55-6 below, along with excerpts.
Re: mAIP
Details below (e.g., pp. 56-68, 190-2). Excerpt:
[mAIP] + my subsequent disruptive innovations + . . . + customized-education-for-AI will be to the AI economy what oil has been to the industrial economy = . . . [via mFFO,] finders gain [up to 20%] . . . of a Rockefeller-ian fortune
Re: mFFO and you acting on it are parts of a textbook approach to preventing/subduing T2M
See: 1) the below excerpt (p. 23) from 2021 book Averting Catastrophe: Decision Theory for COVID-19, Climate Change, and Potential Disasters of All Kinds, by an Administrator of President Obama’s White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs, 2) details re: mFFO (pp. 43-7, 52-3).
T2M summary (part 1 of 4; details follow)
From a University of Pennsylvania criminologist’s 2013 book: ~78 million psychopaths (Ps) are IMPERILED (PsIMP) by ongoing advances in molecular-genetics research (e.g., “indefinite detention” of Ps by the year 2034).
From a 2020 article in Nature: “In the past decade, studies of psychopathological genetics have become large enough to draw robust conclusions.”
Very likely: a growing number of Ps are aware that PsIMP.
Re: psychopathy is ~70% heritable
From 2011 book The Science of Evil, by a University of Cambridge professor of developmental psychopathology:
If a trait or behavior is even partly genetic, we should see its signature showing up in twins.
. . . Regarding twin studies of Type P [i.e., psychopaths], none of these show 100 percent heritability, but the genetic component is nevertheless substantial (the largest estimate being about 70 percent).
Re: many/most/all genetic identifiers of said ~70% will be identified soon
From 2013 book The Anatomy of Violence: The Biological Roots of Crime, by said University of Pennsylvania professor of Criminology (and Psychiatry and Psychology):
“Behavioral genetics is a shadowy black box because, while it tells us what proportion of a given behavior is genetically influenced, it does not identify the specific genes lurking in there that predispose one to violence. Molecular genetics is poised to pry open that black box . . .”
“Twenty years ago, molecular genetics was a fledgling field of research. Now it is a major enterprise providing us with a detailed look at the structure and function of genes.”
“The essence of the molecular genetic research we have been touching on above—identifying specific genes that predispose individuals to crime—is that genes code for neurotransmitter functioning. Neurotransmitters are brain chemicals essential to brain functioning. There are more than a hundred of them and they help to transmit signals from one brain cell to another to communicate information. Change the level of these neurotransmitters, and you change cognition, emotion, and behavior.
. . . It’s 2034 . . . [A]ll males in society aged eighteen and over have to register at their local hospital for a quick brain scan and DNA testing. One simple finger prick for one drop of blood that takes ten seconds. Then a five-minute brain scan for the “Fundamental Five Functions”: First, a structural scan provides the brain’s anatomy. Second, a functional scan shows resting brain activity. Third, enhanced diffusion-tensor imaging is taken to assess the integrity of the white-fiber system in the brain, assessing intricate brain connectivity. Fourth is a reading of the brain’s neurochemistry that has been developed from magnetic resonance spectroscopy. Fifth and finally, the cellular functional scan assesses expression of 23,000 different genes at the cellular level. The computerization of all medical, school, psychological, census, and neighborhood data makes it easy to combine these traditional risk variables alongside the vast amount of DNA and brain data to form an all-encompassing biosocial data set.
. . . Fourth-generation machine-learning techniques looked for complex patterns of linear and nonlinear relationships . . .”
Re: “indefinite detention” of many/most/all Ps could/should ensue
From The Anatomy of Violence (my emphases):
It’s 2034 . . . The economic cost of crime is now astronomical. Back in 2010, the cost of homicide in the United States was estimated at over $300 billion—more than the combined budgets of the Departments of Education, Justice, Housing and Urban Development, Health and Human Services, Labor, and Homeland Security. Way back in 1999, it was estimated to consume 11.9 percent of GDP, but in 2034 it is gobbling up 21.8 percent.
. . . [This] leads the government to launch the LOMBROSO program—Legal Offensive on Murder: Brain Research Operation for the Screening of Offenders.
. . . Under LOMBROSO, those who test positive—the LPs—are held in indefinite detention . . . It sounds quite cushy, but remember that the LPs have not actually committed a crime. Perhaps the main drawback is who they live with, housed as they are in facilities full of other LPs—time bombs waiting to explode.
From 2019 book The New Evil: Understanding the Emergence of Modern Violent Crime:
As we move along the continuum to Category 9 [of 22 categories of violent crime], we traverse an important threshold. The remainder of the scale encompasses persons who commit “evil” acts partly or wholly as the result of varying degrees of psychopathy . . .
TNE co-author Michael H. Stone, MD, is a professor of clinical psychiatry at the Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons.
TNE co-author Gary Brucato, PhD, is: 1) a clinical psychologist and researcher in the areas of violence, psychosis, and other serious psychopathology, 2) the assistant director of the Center of Prevention and Evaluation at the New York State Psychiatric Institute/Columbia University Medical Center.
From 2011 book The Psychopath Test: A Journey Through the Madness Industry:
[“]She said, ‘I’ve got a bad personality. I like to hurt people.’ I thought she was winding me up. I said, ‘Okay, fine.’ So we went through the [fMRI] tests [i.e., brain scans]. When she was looking at the photographs of the mutilated bodies, the sensors showed that she was getting a kick off of them. Her sexual reward center—it’s a sexual thing—was fired up by blood and death [my emphasis]. It’s subconscious. It happens in milliseconds. She found those things pleasant.”
From the 2017 article in The Atlantic titled “When Your Child Is a Psychopath”:
At 11, Samantha is just over 5 feet tall and has wavy black hair and a steady gaze. She flashes a smile when I ask about her favorite subject (history), and grimaces when I ask about her least favorite (math). She seems poised and cheerful, a normal preteen. But when we steer into uncomfortable territory—the events that led her to this juvenile-treatment facility nearly 2,000 miles from her family—Samantha hesitates and looks down at her hands. “I wanted the whole world to myself,” she says. “So I made a whole entire book about how to hurt people.”
Starting at age 6, Samantha began drawing pictures of murder weapons: a knife, a bow and arrow, chemicals for poisoning, a plastic bag for suffocating. She tells me that she pretended to kill her stuffed animals.
“You were practicing on your stuffed animals?,” I ask her.
She nods.
“How did you feel when you were doing that to your stuffed animals?”
“Happy.”
“Why did it make you feel happy?”
“Because I thought that someday I was going to end up doing it on somebody.”
“Did you ever try?”
Silence.
“I choked my little brother.”
. . . One bitter December day in 2011, Jen [who adopted Samantha] was driving the children along a winding road near their home. Samantha had just turned 6. Suddenly Jen heard screaming from the back seat, and when she looked in the mirror, she saw Samantha with her hands around the throat of her 2-year-old sister, who was trapped in her car seat. Jen separated them, and once they were home, she pulled Samantha aside.
“What were you doing?,” Jen asked.
“I was trying to choke her,” Samantha said.
“You realize that would have killed her? She would not have been able to breathe. She would have died.”
“I know.”
“What about the rest of us?”
“I want to kill all of you.”
Samantha later showed Jen her sketches, and Jen watched in horror as her daughter demonstrated how to strangle or suffocate her stuffed animals. “I was so terrified,” Jen says. “I felt like I had lost control.”
Four months later, Samantha tried to strangle her baby brother, who was just two months old.
Jen and Danny had to admit that nothing seemed to make a difference—not affection, not discipline, not therapy. “I was reading and reading and reading, trying to figure out what diagnosis made sense,” Jen tells me. “What fits with the behaviors I’m seeing?” Eventually she found one condition that did seem to fit . . .
“In the children’s mental-health world, it’s pretty much a terminal diagnosis, except your child’s not going to die,” Jen says. “It’s just that there’s no help [i.e., no treatment/cure].”
From a 2015 article on CNN.com:
“The more severe the psychopathy, the greater the inheritance for the disorder,” . . . said [J. Reid Meloy, forensic psychologist and author of The Psychopathic Mind].
Re: it’s (very) likely that a growing number of Ps are aware that PsIMP
From a 2016 article on PsychologyToday.com:
A [meta-analytic] review of [48] studies found that the correlation between psychopathy and intelligence is nearly zero [i.e., ~2.3% of Ps have an IQ ≥ 130; ~16% ≥ 115].
From the 2012 article in FBI Law Enforcement Bulletin titled “The Corporate Psychopath”:
Today’s corporate psychopath may be highly educated—several with Ph.D., M.D., and J.D. degrees have been studied . . .
En route to raising awareness, Ps can use the pretense of screening job applicants to test for psychopathy (i.e., to identify other Ps).
T2M summary (part 2 of 4; details follow)
(Very) likely:
a growing number of Ps are resisting PsIMP
Ps’ war chest is large and growing larger rapidly (e.g., via kleptocracy, ransomware, other means previewed on pp. 132-7)
Re: said likelihoods:
Worldwide, kleptocracy is BOOMING.
Necessity for kleptocrats (Ks): hiring contract killers often.
Contract killers are Ps in “virtually all” cases (source: 2019 article in The Atlantic).
So Ks (e.g., non-Ps) need to RESIST PsIMP (e.g., by FUNDING (other) Ps after making them aware that PsIMP).
Indicators that the alliance of Ks and Ps has reached an advanced stage: parallels/ similarities between Deutsche Bank and the defunct, wildly violent, politically influential/coercive, worldwide criminal enterprise of the 1980s known as Bank of Credit and Commerce International (BCCI).
Re: kleptocracy is BOOMING
Title of a 2020 book by a Financial Times reporter:
From a June 2021 article on Foreign Policy magazine’s website:
Biden Jump-Starts Fight Against Kleptocracy: New memorandum puts anti-corruption efforts at the heart of national security strategy.
Re: Ks hiring contract killers often
— Summary (details follow) —
Ks need to use violence (e.g., murder).
Ks don’t want “their” violence perpetrated by people with inside-knowledge of the Ks’ kleptocratic/criminal activity.
Re: Ks need to use violence
From Kleptopia: How Dirty Money is Conquering the World (my emphases):
“[F]or the kleptocrat, ruling by licensing theft rather than seeking consent, money can achieve most of what needs to be done. For everything else, there is violence.”
“[V]iolence was still required. It was to dirty money what the law was to clean—a guarantee that agreements would be honoured.”
Re: Ks don’t want “their” violence perpetrated by people with inside-knowledge . . .
From Kleptopia (my emphases):
Geremeyev had rented a flat in Moscow for the hit squad, then flew out the day after their work was done, alongside the shooter. Putin’s officials had permitted the investigators to indict the hit squad and the missing driver, but refused to allow any charges against Geremeyev. That would have brought the matter too close to the sacred networks of kleptocratic power that stretched between Moscow, Grozny and beyond.
Precedent for Ks “outsourcing” murder to contract killers (CKs)
From Wikipedia:
Murder, Inc. . . . was an organized crime group, active from 1929 to 1941, that acted as the enforcement arm of the Italian-American Mafia, the Jewish Mob, and other closely connected organized crime groups in New York City and elsewhere.
More indicators that Ks outsource to CKs
From Kleptopia:
They formed a new five families, these international kleptocrats: the Nats, the Brits, the Sprooks, the Petros and the Party.
. . . The Party, the Nats, the Brits, the Petros and the Sprooks are like the clans of the Cosa Nostra that came before them. On the surface they are rivals. But ultimately they are engaged in a common endeavour . . .
From November 2021 book American Kleptocracy: How the U.S. Created the World’s Greatest Money Laundering Scheme in History:
BCCI had created a blueprint that numerous kleptocrats and international criminals would soon follow. It was one of the earliest case studies in what would grow into the modern kleptocracy playbook . . .
From 1993 book The Outlaw Bank: A Wild Ride into the Secret Heart of BCCI, co-authored by two journalists who covered BCCI for Time magazine (my emphases):
From interviews with sources close to BCCI, Time has pieced together a portrait of a clandestine division of the bank called the Black Network, which functions as a global intelligence operation and a mafia-like enforcement squad . . . [T]he 1,500-employee Black Network has used sophisticated spy equipment and techniques, along with bribery, extortion, kidnapping and even, by some accounts, murder.
From a 2021 article on CNN.com titled “Hundreds arrested after police infiltrate secret criminal phone network”:
EncroChat, which offered a secure mobile phone instant messaging service, was a “criminal marketplace” used by 60,000 people worldwide for coordinating the distribution of illicit goods, money laundering and plotting to kill rivals . . .
. . . The crime agency said it had worked with police partners to prevent kidnappings and executions by “successfully mitigating over 200 threats to life.”
From a different 2021 article on CNN.com:
[T]here were other, larger encrypted communication apps which police were working to access.
Re: BCCI
From a 1992 U.S. Senate report on BCCI:
“[L]argest case of organized crime in history . . . finance[d] terrorism . . . assist[ed] the builders of a Pakistani nuclear bomb . . .”
“BCCI systematically bribed world leaders and . . . prominent political figures in most of the 73 countries in which BCCI operated.”
From The Outlaw Bank (my emphases):
Perhaps the most disturbing aspect of the BCCI affair in the United States was the failure of the U.S. government and federal law enforcement to move against the outlaw bank. Instead of swift retribution, what took place over more than a decade was a cover-up of major, alarming proportions, often orchestrated from the very highest levels of government.
Re: Deutsche Bank (DB)
Title of the 2020 book by the finance editor of The New York Times:
Dark Towers: Deutsche Bank, Donald Trump and an Epic Trail of Destruction
Indicators that DB: 1) employs many Ps, 2) banks many Ks and Ps, 3) functions (partly) as a next-gen variant of BCCI
From a 2011 article in U.K. newspaper The Independent:
My companion, a senior UK investment banker, and I are discussing the most successful banking types we know and what makes them tick. I argue that they often conform to the characteristics displayed by social psychopaths. To my surprise, my friend agrees.
He then makes an astonishing confession: “At one major investment bank for which I worked, we used psychometric testing to recruit social psychopaths because their characteristics exactly suited them to senior corporate finance roles.”
From Dark Towers (my emphases):
“[DB] helped funnel money into countries that were under economic sanctions for pursuing nuclear weapons or participating in genocides.”
“The hundreds of millions of dollars that Deutsche [had] wired to Iranian banks [by 2006] provided vital funding for the sanctioned country to pay for its terrorism. Soon Iraq was being ripped apart by violence. Roadside bombs detonated all over the country, targeting the country’s fragile government and the U.S. military forces that were trying to keep the peace. Much of the violence was the work of a terrorist group, Jaysh al-Mahdi, which had been armed and trained by Hezbollah, which had been bankrolled by Iran’s Revolutionary Guard, which had been financed by Deutsche.
. . . The sanctions violations weren’t the work of an isolated crew of rogue Deutsche employees. Managers knew. Their bosses knew. American regulators would later find evidence that at least one member of the bank’s vorstand—in other words, one of Deutsche’s most senior executives—knew about and approved of the scheme.”
From a 2020 article in The New Yorker (my emphases):
“Between 2011 and 2015, ten billion dollars left Russia through Deutsche Bank’s mirror trades.
. . . The recently published FinCEN files . . . add some fascinating detail to the mirror-trades affair.
. . . The FinCEN files cover around two trillion dollars’ worth of suspicious transactions reported at major banks between 1999 and 2017. Of that two trillion, more than half—around $1.3 trillion—passed through Deutsche Bank.”
“As we now know, mirror trades were not just suggestive of financial crime. Major criminal organizations, terrorist groups, and drug cartels used them to launder and transfer money, and benefited more generally from this geyser of dirty money.”
“According to the documents . . . nearly fifty million dollars were also funneled through mirror trades to the Khanani network, whose clients include associates of Hezbollah and the Taliban.”
“The FinCEN documents are based on Suspicious Activity Reports—essentially whistle-blowing reports made by banks themselves—filed to the U.S. government. They were leaked to BuzzFeed News, then shared with the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists, which shared them with news outlets around the world.”
From Dark Towers (my emphases):
“[DB] would soon become enveloped in scandals related to . . . tax evasion, manipulating interest rates, manipulating the prices of precious metals, manipulating the currencies markets, bribing foreign officials, accounting fraud, . . . ripping off customers, and ripping off the German, British, and United States governments. (The list went on.)”
“To any government official paying attention [in 2017], this was a powerful signal: Investigate Deutsche and risk the [U.S.] president’s wrath.”
More indicators that DB functions (partly) as a next-gen variant of BCCI are below (pp. 17, 19-20, 27-43).
Re: Ps are (very) likely to be “PROFITING” from ransomware
From 2021 book This Is How They Tell Me the World Ends: The Cyberweapons Arms Race, by a cybersecurity reporter for The New York Times:
By 2019, ransomware attacks were generating billions of dollars for Russian cybercriminals and were becoming more lucrative. Even as cybercriminals raised their ransom demands to unlock victims’ data from three figures to six, to millions of dollars, local officials—and their insurers—calculated it was still cheaper to pay their digital extortionists than to rebuild their systems and data from scratch.
From a June 2021 article in The New York Times:
Ransomware attacks are striking every eight minutes, crippling hospitals and American mainstays like gas, meat, television, police departments, NBA basketball and minor league baseball teams, even ferries to Martha’s Vineyard. This past week, the targets were one of the world’s largest meatpacking operators and the hospital that serves the Villages in Florida, America’s largest retirement community. The week before it was the pipeline operator that carries half the gas, jet fuel and diesel to the East Coast, in an attack that forced the pipeline to shut down, triggered panic buying and gas shortages and was just days from bringing mass transit and chemical refineries to their knees.
And those are just the attacks we see. Beneath the surface, American businesses are quietly paying off their digital extortionists and burying breaches in hopes that they never see the light of day.
From the August 2021 article on Wired.com titled “Putin Is Crushing Biden’s Room to Negotiate on Ransomware”:
A new cybercrime treaty Russia presented to the UN signals once again that the regime won’t help clamp down on attacks.
From a July 2021 statement from the Biden administration re: “the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) irresponsible and destabilizing behavior in cyberspace”:
Exposing the PRC’s use of criminal contract hackers . . .
[H]ackers with a history of working for the PRC Ministry of State Security (MSS) have engaged in ransomware attacks, cyber-enabled extortion, crypto-jacking, and rank theft from victims around the world, all for [the hackers’ personal] financial gain.
In some cases, we are aware that PRC government-affiliated cyber operators have conducted ransomware operations against private companies that have included ransom demands of millions of dollars. The PRC’s unwillingness to address criminal activity by contract hackers [my emphasis] harms governments, businesses, and critical infrastructure operators through billions of dollars in lost intellectual property, proprietary information, ransom payments, and mitigation efforts.
T2M summary (part 3 of 4; details follow)
At least fairly likely: Donald Trump is a P.
Possible future:
Ks and Ps fund much/most of TrumP’s 2024 presidential campaign.
TrumP is re-elected, after which he:
uses PsIMP as a pretense for granting himself emergency/war powers (EWPs)
leverages EWPs to ADVANCE Ps’ resistance to PsIMP
Re: TrumP
From the 2020 book by Mary Trump, the clinical psychologist (Ph.D.) who’s Donald Trump’s niece:
A case could be made that he [Donald Trump] also meets the criteria for antisocial personality disorder, which in its most severe form is generally considered sociopathy.
From the 2018 article on PsychologyToday.com titled “The Differences Between Psychopaths and Sociopaths”:
Many psychiatrists, forensic psychologists, criminologists, and police officers . . . use the terms sociopath and psychopath interchangeably.
From Mary Trump’s book:
“In addition to teaching graduate psychology, including courses in trauma, psychopathology, and developmental psychology, for several years as an adjunct professor, I provided therapy and psychological testing for patients . . .”
“[Donald Trump’s father] Fred seemed to have no emotional needs at all. In fact, he was a high-functioning sociopath.”
Re: Ks and Ps might fund much/most of TrumP’s 2024 presidential campaign
From a 2018 article co-authored by President Biden:
[L]ack of any requirement to disclose the beneficial (i.e. “true”) ownership of limited liability companies (LLCs) makes it easy for foreign [and/or criminal] entities to establish [anonymous] shell companies [ASCs] in the United States. These shell companies can then . . . channel money directly to a super PAC.
In 2021 ASCs were banned in the U.S. (after President Trump’s veto was overridden), but existing ASCs in the U.S. can operate until 2023.
From American Kleptocracy (my emphases):
[E]ven with the ouster of a would-be authoritarian like Trump, and with the passage of the new anti–shell company legislation, the fight to end the reign of American kleptocracy is hardly tied to a single event, or a single president, or to his removal. If anything, it’s just beginning.
There are a few areas of obvious, low-hanging fruit on the counter-kleptocracy front moving forward. (The one benefit of surveying the landscape of loopholes and financial secrecy mechanisms remaining in the U.S.: there’s an entire buffet of options for reformers!)
From a 2020 article on the website of Foreign Policy magazine:
[BCCI went] so far as to fund leading U.S. presidential campaigns, corrupt the leading voices in at least one American political party, and even grow close to the American president himself.
Re: President TrumP could leverage EWPs to ADVANCE Ps’ resistance
From 2021 book Peril, co-authored by Bob Woodward (my emphases):
“Former defense secretary William J. Perry had been saying for years that the president has sole control of the use of U.S. nuclear weapons.
In an article published in early 2021, Perry said, ‘Once in office, a president gains the absolute authority to start a nuclear war. Within minutes, Trump can unleash hundreds of atomic bombs, or just one. He does not need a second opinion.’”
“[General Mark] Milley [chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff since 2019] felt no absolute certainty that the military could control or trust Trump.”
From 2010 book Annihilation From Within, by a former U.S. undersecretary of defense (my emphases):
[T]he United States, other democracies, and indeed most nations ought to prepare themselves to cope with a new, potentially more overwhelming form of aggression. Nations will have to prevail against an attack that seeks to annihilate their political order from within . . .
. . . Within the next half century, perhaps even within a decade or two, a nation might be vanquished—not by a foreign terrorist organization or by the military strength of a foreign power, but by a small group of domestic evildoers ruthlessly using weapons of mass destruction against their own country.
. . . After the first nuclear detonation, the aspiring dictator would rely mainly on his legitimate organizations and his popular influence to seize political power by exploiting the chaos, havoc, and psychological shock he had deliberately caused.
#potential_playbook
From Peril (my emphases):
Milley often said that the use of nuclear weapons had to be “legal” and the military did have rigorous procedures.
But no system was foolproof, no matter how finely tuned and practiced. Control of nuclear weapons involved human beings and he knew that human beings, including himself, made mistakes. As a practical matter, if a president was determined to use them, it is unlikely a team of lawyers or military officers would be able to stop him.
. . . There was a dark and theoretical possibility that President Trump could go rogue and order military action or the use of nuclear weapons, without going through the required procedures.
. . . “Pulling a Schlesinger” was what he [Milley] needed to do to contain Trump and maintain the tightest possible control of the lines of military communication and command authority.
. . . Was he subverting the president? Some might contend Milley had overstepped his authority and taken extraordinary power for himself.
Title of a 2018 article on NPR.org:
Trump Appoints Gen. Mark Milley Chairman Of The Joint Chiefs Of Staff
A future JCS Chairman appointed by TrumP could be a P, of course.
Re: the prospect of President TrumP ADVANCING Ps’ resistance via: 1) nuking Americans, 2) HELPING to undo American democracy
From Hillary Clinton (HC)’s October 2021 novel State of Terror (SoT; my emphases):
“Even with all they knew, it would take months, maybe years, to untangle all that had happened. And to ferret out all the members of HLI.”
“[HLI is] a group, an organization, all highly placed in different branches of [a fictional U.S.] government. Including, God help me, the military.”
“Why did they [i.e., HLI] do it? I can see being disenchanted with where the country is going, but nuclear bombs? . . . With Al-Qaeda as their ally? The Russian mafia as an ally?”
From HC’s part of the acknowledgments section of SoT:
It’s up to us to make sure its plot stays fictional.
BCCI’s pursuit of nukes derived from Muslims feeling imperiled.
From The Outlaw Bank (my emphases):
The hidden alliances in Pakistan—and within other Islamic states—provided Abedi and BCCI the kind of sweeping immunity from laws and regulation that is assumed by sovereign nations when they take action in the name of ‘national security.’ . . . BCCI, fueled by petro-dollars, was going to forge the shining new sword of Islam. It would be a terrible Nuclear Age sword that would give Pakistan—and other Muslim nations—parity with the Zionists . . .
#playbook
From a December 10, 2021 article on Newsweek.com (my emphases):
[Hillary] Clinton also cautioned those who had a complacent attitude towards what she said was an effort to destabilize American democracy.
“I worry still that too many people are like, ‘Oh, it can't be that bad’, or ‘it can’t go that far’. It’s a failure of imagination, and I wrote after January 6 that one of the findings . . . of the 9/11 Commission was a failure of imagination,” she told Geist.
From a December 14, 2021 tweet by HC:
. . .
Re: FAILURE of imagination:
From 2008 book The Wages of Destruction: The Making and Breaking of the Nazi Economy, by Columbia University historian Adam Tooze:
Hitler had seen himself as locked in a global confrontation with world Jewry.
. . . For Hitler, a war of conquest was not one policy option amongst others. Either the German race struggled for Lebensraum [i.e., territory] or its racial enemies would condemn it to extinction.
From 2019 book Appeasement: Chamberlain, Hitler, Churchill, and the Road to War:
The failure to perceive the true character of the Nazi regime and Adolf Hitler [my emphasis] stands as the single greatest failure of British policy makers during this period, since it was from this that all subsequent failures—the failure to rearm sufficiently, the failure to build alliances (not least with the Soviet Union), the failure to project British power, and the failure to educate public opinion—stemmed.
From 1969 book Collapse of the Third Republic: An Inquiry into the Fall of France in 1940:
In the span of six weeks during that spring and early summer of weather more lovely than anyone in France could remember since the end of the previous war, this old parliamentary democracy, the world’s second largest empire, one of Europe’s principal powers and perhaps its most civilized, and reputedly possessing one of the finest armies in the world, went down to utter military defeat, leaving its citizens, who had been heirs to a long and glorious history, dazed and then completely demoralized.
Before they could recover their senses an eighty-four-year-old, nearly senile Marshal, a legendary hero of the First World War, aided and indeed prodded by a handful of defeated generals and defeatist politicians, completed the debacle by jettisoning in mid-July, with the approval of a stampeded parliament, the Third Republic and its democratic way of life, and replacing it with a fascist dictatorship . . .
From the 2018 article titled “Los Extraditables, the Pablo Escobar-Led Gang That Launched a Bloody Campaign [during the 1980s] Against U.S. Extradition”:
The terrorist group . . . claimed “we prefer a grave in Colombia to a prison in the United States . . .”
Escobar was a drug-trafficker whose net worth reached $58 billion (in 2018 dollars). The other leaders of Los Extraditables were wealthy drug-traffickers.
From 2001 book Killing Pablo: The Hunt for the World’s Greatest Outlaw (my emphases):
“[Escobar] intended, he said, to use the public’s weariness with [Extraditables-funded] violence to his benefit. He planned to turn up the violence until the public cried out for a solution, a deal.
. . . A communiqué from the Extraditables not long after hammered home the point:
We are declaring total and absolute war on the government, on the individual and political oligarchy, on the journalists who have attacked and insulted us, on the judges that have sold themselves to the government, on the extraditing magistrates . . . on all those who have persecuted and attacked us. We will not respect the families of those who have not respected our families. We will burn and destroy the industries, properties and mansions of the oligarchy.”
“At his [Escobar’s] peak, he would threaten to usurp the Colombian State.”
“Ever since Pablo’s men had blown that Avianca flight out of the sky . . .”
“[A] total of 457 police had been killed since Colonel Martinez had started his hunt. Young gunmen in that city were being paid 5 million pesos for killing a cop.”
From a U.S.-Military-Academy-at-West-Point professor’s 2018 book (my emphases):
[The] allure of preventive war is rooted in fear . . . [F]ear is most acute when power is shifting among [groups (e.g., shifting against Ps via advances in molecular genetics)] . . . [Hence the] long parade of preventive conflicts we can observe over thousands of years of history.
From Averting Catastrophe: Decision Theory for COVID-19, Climate Change, and Potential Disasters of All Kinds (my emphases):
In special circumstances, you might consider avoiding the worst-case scenario and thus following the maximin principle, which calls for eliminating the worst of the worst cases. The strongest cases for following that rule would involve three factors: (1) Knightian uncertainty, understood as an inability to assign probabilities to various options; (2) catastrophic or grave consequences from one option, but not from other options; and (3) low or relatively low costs[*], or low or low benefits foregone, as a result of choosing the option that avoids the worst-case scenario.
* e.g., profits for you et al. via mFFO, which is designed in part to lead to elimination of the worst case re: TrumP
Precedent for preventing/subduing T2M via leveraging social/professional networks
Such leveraging was the key to experts gaining control of America’s Covid response.
From 2021 best-seller The Premonition: A Pandemic Story, by Michael Lewis:
The only way to get attention for this new tool for disease control, Glass decided, was to write it up in a paper for an academic journal. The scientists at Sandia National Labs worked under the highest security clearance in the federal government, called “Q clearance,” and were prohibited from revealing their work without first seeking approval. The work was his kid’s science fair project, but he was now taking it as seriously as anything he did at Sandia. So he explained the situation to his superiors and wrote up a long paper, which, at length, they allowed him to publish. He sent it to Science and Nature and to other, more obscure journals of medical science. “Every one of them just returned it to me unread because I wasn’t known in their field,” he said. “So then I got really worried.” When asked about himself, which he seldom was, as he spent so much of his time alone in thought, Bob Glass described himself as “an extreme introvert.” It violated his nature to reach out personally to people in the field of communicable disease and seek their help. But he did it anyway. He found the names of professional epidemiologists who claimed to be using computer models to study disease spread and sent them his paper, along with a note. “They wouldn’t even return my emails,” he said. “They just didn’t respond. So then I got pissed. I had this fear: a pandemic will occur, and no one would do anything right. I thought I was dead. I thought we were all dead. Then I remembered the guy at the VA.”
A year and a half earlier, Laura had gone to Washington, DC, to visit her aunt. Over dinner one night, she told her aunt’s boyfriend, an infectious-disease specialist who worked for the Department of Veterans Affairs, about her science fair project. “You should write that up and publish it,” he said with enthusiasm. He said he’d never heard of anything like it. When she returned home, she told her father about the dinner. “I thought, ‘Jeez, this is going to take a lot of work,’” he’d said, but he agreed to turn the science fair project into a serious academic paper on disease control, authored jointly. The VA guy had already had one big effect on their work, Bob Glass thought; maybe he could have another. It troubled him deeply to use his sister’s boyfriend to get attention for a scientific discovery, but he didn’t know anyone else in the federal government in Washington, DC. “You just don’t do this in science,” Glass said. “But I said, I’m going to do something someone my age never does. I’m going to go around the system. I write him an email and attach the paper and ask: ‘Do you know anyone who needs to see this?’”
At that point, he’d spent the better part of six months trying to get the attention of experts in disease control. Inside of six hours, he had a call from Richard Hatchett. “He said, ‘We’re in the White House,’” recalled Bob Glass. “‘When can you come and talk to us?’”
. . . He and Richard and others had spent years creating and selling the ideas that would, if quickly seized upon, prevent a lot of Americans from dying. Those ideas were useful, and yet no one in authority seemed willing to use them. “We were going nuts,” said Carter. Each of the Wolverines went into their contact lists to look for what Carter called “high-value nodes.” People they knew who might influence American policy . . .
The goal was to find at least one state to take the lead and roll out an aggressive response to the virus, introduce the social interventions outlined in the pandemic plan, and create a domino effect. “We had to create an epidemic for an idea,” said Carter. At some point Duane Caneva realized that he had something to add . . . In his two years inside Trump’s Department of Homeland Security, Duane had had various dealings, many acrimonious, with various public officials in states that shared a border with Mexico. One struck him as just the type to grab hold of an entire state and turn it into an example that might lead the nation. “Just got off the phone with Dr. Charity Dean,” Duane wrote . . .
. . . Charity walked them through what had happened back in 1918 and what was happening again, in only slightly different form. She explained how, six weeks earlier, she had arrived at a fairly good estimate of all the important traits of the virus, and she said that once you knew these things about the virus, you could predict its future. She did not tell them that she had spent the previous six weeks in conversations with maybe the world’s greatest redneck epidemiologist [i.e., Carter]. Park and Patil mostly just listened to her and asked questions.
. . . After a couple of hours with Charity, Park and Patil decided that the most useful thing they could do for the state of California was to deliver the contents of her mind onto [Governor] Gavin Newsom’s desk. “Our only job was to make it possible for Charity to talk through a model,” recalled Park. “Our job was to take everything in her brain and get it to the governor.”
. . . Park and Patil presented the model’s output to Governor Newsom’s senior advisers. “When we showed them what the model was saying, it sucked the air out of the room,” said Park. The next day, Governor Newsom issued the country’s first statewide stay-at-home order.
. . . What Charity couldn’t figure out was how, or even if, what she said on the calls found its way into the ears of the decision makers [in the U.S. federal government]—and who those people were. At one point she put the question to James Lawler. “James,” she asked, “who exactly is in charge of this pandemic?” “Nobody,” he replied. “But if you want to know who is sort of in charge, it’s sort of us.”
T2M summary (part 4 of 4; details follow)
There are indicators that Ps are leveraging life science (LS) to:
develop “personalized bioweapons”
weaponize viruses (e.g., for use after Ps have developed a vaccine, per
Pulitzer winner Lawrence Wright’s finding that “the experts all share the concerns I’ve presented—that something like this [i.e., weaponize after vaccine] could happen”)
Re: personalized bioweapons (PBs)
From the chapter in 2015 book Tomorrowland: Our Journey from Science Fiction to Science Fact titled “Hacking the President’s DNA,” co-authored by a former Resident Futurist of the FBI (my emphases):
Our next commander-in-chief will be our first commander-in-chief to have to deal with genetically based, made-to-order [e.g., personalized] biothreats.
. . . Within a few years, politicians, celebrities, leaders of industry . . . will be vulnerable to murder[, extortion, etc.] by genetically engineered bioweapon. Many such killings could go undetected, confused with death by natural causes; many others would be difficult to pin on a defendant, especially given disease latency. Both of these factors are likely to make personalized bioweapons extremely attractive to anyone bearing ill will.
From a 2012 article in The Atlantic:
According to Ronald Kessler, the author of the 2009 book In the President’s Secret Service, Navy stewards gather bedsheets, drinking glasses, and other objects the president has touched—they are later sanitized or destroyed—in an effort to keep would-be malefactors from obtaining his genetic material . . . [A]ccording to a 2010 release of secret cables by WikiLeaks, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton directed our embassies to surreptitiously collect DNA samples from foreign heads of state and senior United Nations officials.
Indicators that said alliance of Ks and Ps is developing PBs
— Summary (details below) —
Psychopathy correlates strongly with hypersexuality.
Jeffrey Epstein (JE):
was hypersexual
was banked by DB
owned a company (JCo) that mined DNA databases and financial databases en
route to: 1) reporting profits of ~$300M, 2) not reporting the names of any clients
Linking financial data and DNA data is a prerequisite for PBs that yield “profits”-via-extortion.
There are indicators (e.g., seen above) that:
JE extorted
JCo was banked by DB
DB employs many Ps (e.g., possible ex-suppliers of data to JCo)
DB banks many Ps (e.g., possible ex-clients of JCo)
Key indicator of #4: DB banks many WEALTHY criminals (e.g., Ks who are possible ex-clients of JCo).
Re: weaponizing viruses
From the April 2020 article in The New Yorker titled “What Lawrence Wright Learned From His Pandemic Novel” (my emphases):
By the time Wright and I met for lunch and discussed his novel—“The End of October,” which is out this month—he had already done the coast-to-coast reporting. He had met with epidemiologists, immunologists, microbiologists, security experts, vaccine experts, and public-health officials. He had read all the books, all the journal articles . . . The experts, Wright notes in a letter to the reader in the galleys of his book, “all share the concerns I’ve presented—that something like this could happen.”
From The End of October:
“Really, Henry,” Bartlett asked, “you think this [virus] was man-made?”
[Henry:] “Biowarfare has always been . . . the ultimate weapon of war, one that can destroy the enemy without fingerprints.”
“It only makes sense if they have also developed a vaccine [my emphasis],” said Bartlett.
From a September 2021 article on TheIntercept.com:
The [2018] proposal . . . describes the insertion of human-specific cleavage sites into SARS-related bat coronaviruses.
. . . The . . . proposal, which also described a plan to mass vaccinate [my emphasis] . . .
“Let’s look at the big picture: A novel SARS coronavirus emerges in Wuhan with a novel cleavage site in it. We now have evidence that, in early 2018, they had pitched inserting novel cleavage sites into novel SARS-related viruses in their lab,” said Chan. “This definitely tips the scales for me. And I think it should do that for many other scientists too.”
Richard Ebright, a molecular biologist at Rutgers University who has espoused the possibility that SARS-CoV-2 may have originated in a lab, agreed. “The relevance of this is that SARS Cov-2, the pandemic virus, is the only virus in its entire genus of SARS-related coronaviruses that contains a fully functional cleavage site at the S1, S2 junction,” said Ebright, referring to the place where two subunits of the spike protein meet. “And here is a proposal from the beginning of 2018, proposing explicitly to engineer that sequence at that position in chimeric lab-generated coronaviruses.”
Indicators that said alliance is weaponizing viruses
JE met with top virologist George Church several/many times (e.g., in 2014).
From George Church’s web page on the site for Harvard’s PhD Program in Virology:
Virology Faculty Member . . .
From a 2019 article on NBCnews.com (my emphases):
Harvard science professors kept meeting with donor Jeffrey Epstein . . .
[A]ccording to the online personal calendar [for 2014] of Dr. George Church, a renowned geneticist who holds professorships at Harvard, Harvard Medical School and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology[:]
. . . On April 22, Epstein met with Church at the Harvard Medical School’s Genetics Department building . . . The two had a phone call the next day. He had lunch with Church on June 21, according to the calendar.
. . . On Sept. 12, Epstein and Church had another phone call, which was followed by a teleconference call Oct. 21 between Epstein and Church . . . On Nov. 30, the calendar lists a dinner with multiple attendees: “Dinner w/ Jeff Epstein . . .
From Church’s web page (my emphases):
Our lab works on AAV therapeutic vectors, including evasion of innate immunity, capsid design via machine learning with large synthetic libraries for multiplex testing of tissue tropism and evasion of cell/humoral immunity. We study variation in human populations to various viruses including rare neutralizing antibodies for HIV. We are interested in near-extinction-scale Elephant and Swine Viruses (EEHV and ASFV). We harness viral and anti-viral mechanisms (e.g. recombinases, CRISPR, deaminases) to develop new editing technologies.
JE’s meetings with Church might’ve come after JE et al. reviewed the “step-by-step manual” referenced in the following book excerpt.
From 2017 book Warnings: How to Find Cassandras and Stop Catastrophes, co-authored by a former U.S. National Coordinator for Security and Counter-Terrorism (my emphases):
In 2011, Ron Fouchier, from the Erasmus Medical Center in downtown Rotterdam, crafted a series of experiments to mutate highly lethal H5N1 into a form contagious by air. Just five single mutations allowed H5N1 to bind with cells in the human respiratory tract (thereby making it contagious by air, sneezes, and dirty doorknobs, etc.). Using ferrets as incubators, and their noses as makeshift Petri dishes, Fouchier rapidly moved infected sputum from ferret to ferret. In a period of weeks, he created a bug as transmissible as the Spanish flu but potentially up to twenty times more lethal.
. . . Fouchier was roundly criticized for launching such a dangerous study in a working hospital, in a crowded city, with arguably less than perfect protections. He did it without complicated tools, available in nearly any laboratory and to consumers. And he decided to publish his results to give the world a step-by-step manual, steps that could be taken in nearly any lab to make his superbug.
So JE’s meetings with Church might’ve coincided with Ps’ efforts to create a vaccine.
Re: JE’s trafficking* of underage girls (UGs) might’ve HELPED Ps weaponize LS
From This Is How They Tell Me the World Ends: The Cyberweapons Arms Race:
“[H]ackers seized on the coronavirus to take aim at our hospitals, our vaccine labs, and the federal agencies leading the Covid-19 response.”
“The pandemic is global, but the response has been anything but. Allies and adversaries alike are resorting to cyberespionage to glean whatever they can about each country’s containment, treatments, and response.”
“[H]ackers were . . . pilfering intellectual property from every major company in the Fortune 500, American research laboratories . . .”
Many top technologists are high-functioning autistics (e.g., have Asperger’s Syndrome).
~30% of male Aspies have “pedophilic sexual fantasies of female children” (source: 2017 article on the website of the U.S. government’s National Center for Biotechnology Information).
So JE’s trafficking might’ve enabled Ps to coerce TOP hackers.
* From a 2019 article on TheDailyBeast.com:
Police say Epstein was sexually abusing girls as young as 13, many of them from poor families and broken homes. And, according to lawsuits filed by victims, Epstein loaned them out to his famous friends.
Re: JE-coerced-TOP-hackers is consistent with DB functioning as a next-gen variant of BCCI
See below; keywords: BCCI trafficked UGs en route to blackmailing.
Another indicator re: said alliance weaponizing LS
From July 2021 book Perversion of Justice: The Jeffrey Epstein Story (my emphases):
In December 2011, Jeffrey Epstein brought together some of the most brilliant scientific minds in the nation on his remote island . . .
It was, essentially, a Global Doomsday conference.
The attendees were instructed to identify some of the greatest threats to the earth, contemplating such phenomena as bioterrorism . . .
Re: hypersexuality
From the 2015 article on Broadly.com titled “When Women Get Addicted to Sexting”:
Sex addiction (officially known as hypersexuality) missed out on being recognized as a brain-changing clinical disorder like drug addiction in 2013, but a 2014 Cambridge University study suggested it does mirror the latter. It found that when sex addicts were shown pornography, the regions of their brains which process anticipation were more active than those of people without compulsive sexual disorders. The same regions kick into action when drug addicts are shown drug stimuli.
Re: psychopathy correlates strongly with hypersexuality
From a 2012 article on HuffingtonPost.co.uk (my emphases):
“In one of the largest studies of its kind ever published, U.S. psychologists have found a particular aspect of personality in men and women predicts what the researchers refer to as ‘hypersexuality.’
. . . This character trait is—psychopathy.”
“Psychologists are beginning to concur that it’s this unique element of character which most powerfully predicts . . . a gamut of risky sexual behaviors.”
“The ‘hypersexual’ have more sexual partners than the rest of the population, fantasize more . . . and tend to favor more sex without love.”
From The Anatomy of Violence:
The striatum is a key brain region that is associated with reward-seeking and impulsive behavior. Studies have shown that it is involved in stimulation-seeking behavior, persistently repeating actions that are related to rewards . . . We found that our psychopathic individuals [i.e., research subjects] showed a 10 percent increase in the volume of the striatum compared with controls.
. . . [T]he difference between us and psychopaths is that we can say no when tempted by the goodies, whereas psychopaths just want their stuff. And they want it here, and they want it now. For them, reward is a drug that they cannot turn their backs on, and this pushes them along a path of depravity and vice.
Re: JE was hypersexual
From a 2019 article in The New York Post:
Jeffrey Epstein had an insatiable sexual appetite that included threesomes with “strap-on” dildos and a required three orgasms a day, according to court documents unsealed Friday.
Re: JE was banked by DB
Title of a 2019 article in Vanity Fair:
Of Course Jeff Epstein Moved His Dirty Money Through Deutsche Bank
Title of a December 2019 article on TruePundit.com:
Jeffrey Epstein’s Private Banker at Deutsche & Citi Found Swinging From a Rope; Executive “Suicide” Before FBI Questioned Him
Re: JCo
From a 2020 article in The New York Times:
In the years after Jeffrey Epstein registered as a sex offender [i.e., after 2008], he . . . started a business to develop algorithms and mine DNA and financial databases.
. . . Southern Trust [i.e., said business] generated about $300 million in profit in six years . . . The source of Southern Trust’s revenue is not clear; the bare-bones corporate filings made by the company in the Virgin Islands do not list any clients.
Indicator that JE extorted
From the 2019 article in The New York Times titled “The Day Jeffrey Epstein Told Me He Had Dirt on Powerful People”:
The overriding impression I took away from our roughly 90-minute conversation was that Mr. Epstein knew an astonishing number of rich, famous and powerful people, and had photos to prove it. He also claimed to know a great deal about these people, some of it potentially damaging or embarrassing, including details about their supposed sexual proclivities and recreational drug use.
Indicators that JCo was banked by DB
JE owned a bank (JB).
From a 2020 article in The New York Times:
In the years after Jeffrey Epstein registered as a sex offender, he . . . set up a bank.
JB might’ve banked JCo.
From said 2020 article in The New York Times:
[JB] was created under a territorial law [in the Virgin Islands] that lacked many of the oversight requirements banks are usually subject to . . .
. . . These specialized banks have drawn scrutiny because of their potential for abuse, including money laundering.
JB might’ve been banked by DB.
From said 2020 article in The New York Times:
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York describes international bank entities in the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico [e.g., EB] as “high-risk” institutions [my emphasis]. Last year, it temporarily suspended applications for them to obtain financial services from the Fed until it can issue stricter rules for them.
From Dark Towers:
Deutsche had been moving money—as much as $80 billion—for thousands of “high-risk entities” [my emphasis] in various countries.
More indicators, via JE, that Ks & Ps are weaponizing LS with help from DB
— Summary (details follow) —
There are indicators that:
JE knew about BCCI decades ago
JE’s bank was part of DB
JE fit the profile of top BCCI execs (e.g., JE committed many of the crimes committed by said execs).
There are indicators that JE was protected by the U.S. government (USG) for many years.
Key indicator that USG protected JE: Americans would BENEFIT from USG blackmailing TOP hackers who live in undemocratic countries.
Indicators that JE knew about BCCI decades ago
From The Outlaw Bank:
BCCI helps Adnan Khashoggi finance the sale of arms to Iran as a part of the Reagan administration’s Iran-Contra effort.
From 2020 book The Spider: Inside the Criminal Web of Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell:
[During the mid-1980s] Leese also introduced Epstein to one of his associates: Adnan Khashoggi. Khashoggi, a Saudi arms dealer, was a man of marvel and mystery. He was born in Mecca, and his father was said to have been the personal physician of Saudi king Abdullah bin Abdulaziz Al Saud. Khashoggi was one of the world’s wealthiest arms brokers. He moved around the world surrounded by heavily armed bodyguards—men trained in the art of killing at Fort Bragg in the United States and at Hereford in the United Kingdom. The Saudi soon became another trusted client of Epstein’s.
Indicators that JE’s bank was part of DB
From said 1992 report:
“BCCI was from its earliest days made up of multiplying layers of entities, related to one another through an impenetrable series of holding companies, affiliates, subsidiaries, banks-within-banks [my emphasis] . . .”
“By fracturing corporate structure, record keeping, regulatory review, and audits . . . [BCCI founder] Abedi developed in BCCI an ideal mechanism for facilitating illicit activity by others . . .”
From Dark Towers:
“A hodgepodge of hundreds of different systems polluted the bank’s ecosystem. One implication was that there was no way for the bank to measure or understand what it was actually doing.”
“Deutsche more than almost any other multinational financial institution deftly managed to exploit rivalries among regulators to shield itself from tougher rules or greater outside scrutiny.”
Re: JE fit the profile of top BCCI execs (part 1 of 2)
From The Outlaw Bank (my emphases):
[G]irls as young as twelve (and later, even younger) were dressed in silk harem pants and procured by BCCI officers for their clients. In the middle 1970s the man in charge of inspecting the girls was Zafar Iqbal, who would later become the chief executive officer of BCCI.
. . . [T]he wife of a Pakistani doctor, was in charge of rounding up the girls and bringing them to Karachi to be outfitted in proper clothes before being presented to the princely clients. Often she would shepherd more than fifty girls at a time through a department store, shopping for jewelry and dresses. This practice was so successful—far more effective than giving away microwave ovens or toasters—that the bank would spend as much as $100,000 on such an evening’s entertainment. According to the Senate testimony of Nazir Chinoy, Madame Rahim would also “interview girls, women, and take them . . . to Abu Dhabi for a dancing show or arrange some singing shows.” Throughout the Middle East, “dancing girls” and “singing girls” are euphemisms for prostitutes; Chinoy chose to be tactful before the TV cameras.
. . . According to [BCCI employee] Masri, the protocol officers . . . were also responsible . . . for luring businessmen, military officers, and politicians into Abedi’s web of intrigue through a combination of favors, money, blackmail, and intimidation.
Indicator that JE was protected by USG for many years
From a 2019 article on TheDailyBeast.com:
“I was told Epstein ‘belonged to intelligence’ and to leave it alone,” [said Alex Acosta, re: the non-prosecution plea deal that Acosta—then the U.S. Attorney in Miami, Florida—provided to Epstein in 2007. Epstein had been accused of unlawful sex with minors and prostitution, but ended up pleading guilty to two counts of soliciting prostitution from a minor.]
Re: JE fit the profile of top BCCI execs (part 2 of 2)
From The Outlaw Bank:
The strange and still murky ties between BCCI and the intelligence agencies of several countries are so pervasive that even the White House has become entangled. As Time reported . . . the National Security Council has used BCCI to funnel money for the Iran-Contra deals, and the CIA maintained accounts in BCCI for covert operations. Moreover, investigators have told Time that the Defense Intelligence Agency has maintained a slush-fund account with BCCI, apparently to pay for clandestine activities.
Re: Americans would BENEFIT from USG blackmailing top hackers who live in undemocratic countries
From This Is How They Tell Me the World Ends:
“One day in 2008, almost simultaneously, five of the NSA’s most elite hackers turned in their security badges and pulled out of the Fort’s parking lot for the last time. Inside the agency, these men had been revered as ‘the Maryland Five,’ and time and time again, they had proved indispensable. They were each members of a premier TAO access team that hacked into the systems nobody else could.”
“The United States doesn’t forcibly conscript talented hackers at Google and MIT to moonlight as nation-state attackers like the Russians, Iranians, North Koreans, and Chinese do.”
“My source had gotten his hands on an urgent DHS-FBI alert [issued in 2017]. It was meant solely for the utilities, the water suppliers, the nuclear plants. The bureaucrats were trying to bury it on a holiday weekend. And as soon as I got eyes on it, I could see why: the Russians were inside our nuclear plants.”
“‘Cyber is a tailor-made instrument of power for them,’ former NSA deputy director Chris Inglis said after North Korea’s role in the WannaCry attacks became clear. ‘There’s a low cost of entry, it’s largely asymmetrical, there’s some degree of anonymity and stealth in its use. It can hold large swaths of nation-state infrastructure and private-sector infrastructure at risk. It’s a source of income.’ In fact, Inglis said, ‘You could argue that they have one of the most successful cyber programs on the planet, not because it’s technically sophisticated, but because it has achieved all their aims at very low cost.’”
“I came to survey the rubble at ground zero for the most devastating cyberattack the world had ever seen. The world was still reeling from the fallout of a Russian cyberattack on Ukraine that less than two years earlier had shut down government agencies, railways, ATMs, gas stations, the postal service, even the radiation monitors at the old Chernobyl nuclear site, before the code seeped out of Ukraine and haphazardly zigzagged its way around the globe. Having escaped, it paralyzed factories in the far reaches of Tasmania, destroyed vaccines at one of the world’s largest pharmaceutical companies, infiltrated computers at FedEx, and brought the world’s biggest shipping conglomerate to a halt, all in a matter of minutes.
By the time I visited Kyiv in 2019, the tally of damages from that single Russian attack exceeded $10 billion, and estimates were still climbing. Shipping and railway systems had still not regained full capacity. All over Ukraine, people were still trying to find packages that had been lost when the shipment tracking systems went down. They were still owed pension checks that had been held up in the attack. The records of who was owed what had been obliterated.”
From a 2021 article on CBSnews.com:
President Biden inherited a lot of intractable problems, but perhaps none is as disruptive as the cyber war between the United States and Russia simmering largely under the radar. Last March, with the coronavirus spreading uncontrollably across the United States, Russian cyber soldiers released their own contagion by sabotaging a tiny piece of computer code buried in a popular piece of software called “SolarWinds.” The hidden virus spread to 18,000 government and private computer networks by way of one of those software updates we all take for granted. The attack was unprecedented in audacity and scope. Russian spies went rummaging through the digital files of the U.S. departments of Justice, State, Treasury, Energy, and Commerce and for nine months had unfettered access to top-level communications, court documents, even nuclear secrets. And by all accounts, it’s still going on.
From This Is How They Tell Me the World Ends:
“In 2018, terrorist attacks cost the global economy $33 billion, a decrease of thirty-eight percent from the previous year. That same year, a study by RAND Corporation from more than 550 sources—the most comprehensive data analysis of its kind—concluded global losses from cyberattacks were likely on the order of hundreds of billions of dollars. And that was the conservative estimate. Individual data sets predicted annual cyber losses of more than two trillion dollars.”
“Gosler began with two experiments. That year, 1985, he convinced his bosses at Sandia to sponsor a study. They called it Chaperon, and its premise was simple: Could anyone design a truly secure computer application? And could someone subvert that application with a malicious implant that could not be detected, even through a detailed forensic investigation? In other words, a zero-day [i.e., “a software or hardware flaw for which there is no existing patch. They got their name because, as with Patient Zero in an epidemic, when a zero-day flaw is discovered, software and hardware companies have had zero days to come up with a defense”].
Sandia divided its top technical brass into bad guys and good guys: the subverters and the evaluators. The former would plant vulnerabilities in a computer application. The latter would have to find them.
Gosler still spent most of his evenings away from work breaking hardware and software for the fun of it. But professionally, he had only ever played the role of evaluator. Now, he relished the chance to play subverter. He designed two implants and was sure the Evaluators would discover his first subversion.
‘I was immersed in a fantasy world back then,’ Gosler told me. When he wasn’t breaking software, he was playing the 1980s computer game Zork, popular with some of the techies he worked with.
For his first trick, he inserted a few familiar lines from the Zork game into the security application’s code. The Zork text effectively fooled Sandia’s application into revealing secret variables that could be used by an attacker to take over the application—and any data the application secured. Gosler was sure his colleagues would pick up on it quickly.
For his second subversion, Gosler inserted a vulnerability that he and others would later only describe as a ‘groundbreaking technical achievement.’
The evaluators never did find Gosler’s two implants. Even Gosler’s Zork subversion proved maddeningly difficult to track down. Sandia’s evaluators still describe the study as one of the most frustrating experiments of their career. They spent months looking for his implants before they finally threw up their hands and demanded that he tell them what he had done.
It took Gosler three eight-hour briefings, pacing in front of a whiteboard covered in notation, which he attacked in bursts, to painstakingly explain his implant. His peers nodded along, but clearly they were baffled.
Initially Gosler thought the second implant could be useful as a Sandia training exercise, but seeing employees’ frustration, his bosses rejected the idea outright. They worried that the exercise would only compel new recruits to quit.
Instead, his bosses decided to start over and put together a new study:
Chaperon 2. This time, they chose someone other than Gosler to lead the subversion. Some one hundred Sandia engineers spent weeks and months hunting for the implant. While others came close, only one—Gosler—discovered the subversion and presented it in a detailed hours-long briefing. . . . Rick Proto and Robert Morris Sr., the respective chiefs of research and science at the NSA’s National Computer Security Center, thought Gosler could teach their analysts a thing or two.
At their first meeting [in 1987], Gosler asked Morris Sr. the question that had been troubling him for some time now. ‘How complex can software be for you to have total knowledge of what it could do?’
. . . Morris Sr. told Gosler that, off the top of his head, he would have ‘100 percent confidence’ in an application that contained 10,000 lines of code or less, and zero confidence in an application that contained more than 100,000 lines of code. Gosler took that as his cue to share with Morris Sr. the more complicated of the subversion tactics he had developed for Sandia’s Chaperon 1 study. Turns out it was an application with fewer than 3,000 lines of code.
Morris Sr. invited an elite NSA squad of PhDs, cryptographers, and electrical engineers to take a look. Not one discovered Gosler’s implant, nor could any replicate the subversion once Gosler pointed them to it.”
From 2019 book Coders: The Making of a New Tribe and the Remaking of the World:
[T]he “10X” coder . . . describes a programmer who is provably better, multiple times so, than the average code monkey.
. . . Bill Gates once said, “ . . . a great writer of software code is worth ten thousand times the price of an average software writer.”
. . . When I ask venture capitalists and founders whether 10Xers really exist, many immediately say: Oh yes. Hell yes.
“I think it’s probably 1000X,” . . . Marc Andreessen . . . co-founder of Netscape . . . tells me.
Re: via mFFO, you can profit and be much safer
— Summary (some details follow; more (linked-to) below) —
Keys to preventing/subduing (PSing) T2M:
leveraging my work that builds on mAIP (mAIP+)
EWPs being delegated to my planned company (MPC)*
Keys to delegated-EWPs ASAP:
I’m preparing publicly to run for president of the U.S. in the 2024 election
you act on mFFO
* EWPs are the ideal means of funding the launch of MPC; keywords (KWs) re: “ideal”: “[private] capital is a coward.”
Re: PSing T2M via mAIP+
— Summary (two details follow; more (linked-to) below) —
In theory, T2M can be PSed via carrots and/or sticks.
There are many indicators that providers of relevant sticks won’t PS T2M (e.g., pp. 126-30, 139-48; KWs: fear/awareness that the enemy is within, resultant paralysis; greed (‘g’ added late; details via link, so I don’t having to reformat (much of) pp. 45-237)).
A key to providing an ideal carrot re: PSing T2M is leveraging mAIP+ (e.g., pp. 78-87, 165-79).
Re: “enemy is within”
From a 2018 article on Politico.com:
From a December 12, 2021 article on news.yahoo.com (my emphases):
[“T]he Republican Party has gone along with him [i.e., Donald Trump]. Honestly, they have hung their spines up on the wall as they walk into their offices. They have no conscience,” [Hillary] Clinton said.
Re: “fear . . . resultant paralysis”
From a 2020 article in The New York Times:
“[A]nother problem making the German authorities increasingly anxious: infiltration of the very institutions, like the police, that are supposed to be doing the investigating [of Neo-Nazis].
In July the police chief of the western state of Hesse resigned after police computers had been repeatedly accessed for confidential information that was then used by neo-Nazis in death threats. It was in Hesse that a well-known neo-Nazi assassinated a regional politician last summer . . .”
More precedents for paralysis-via-an-enemy-within are below (pp. 129-30, 146-8).
Re: a key to PSing T2M is delegated-EWPs
Via EWPs, MPC would:
protect carrot providers (i.e., the people who’ll be part of continuously improving the quality of MPC’s carrot)
create sticks to motivate uptake of MPC’s carrot (i.e., uptake by Ps who, as a pre-condition, will submit to indefinite-detention or an alternate form of threat-neutralization)
Re: mFFO (part 1 of 2)
From an earlier write-up:
Partial formula:
your Rolodex + 20% finders’-fee I’m offering to pay + ~5 degrees of separation* between you and the U.S. president I need to partner with . . .
* ~6 total, 1 between you and me
. . . When ~5 finders are able to connect me with President Biden, the ~5 and I will sign a legally-binding FFO.
Formation of a partnership between the president and MPC would trigger the payout to finders of 20% of the equity in MPC.
. . . Said connect-me yielding said partnership seems LIKELY, given that:
Again, President Biden would receive 64%* of the equity in MPC in exchange for delegating EWPs to MPC.
The exchange would make MPC a de facto monopolist. KWs: Duplicate delegated-EWPs are precluded by Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem.
Post-exchange, then, the 64% would yield a Rockefeller-ian fortune ASAP.
The Biden administration is seeking to combat “root causes of malicious cyber activities.”
Again, the Biden administration wants to combat kleptocracy.
Implication of “MPC a de facto monopolist”: Post-exchange, finders of said kind would be able to monetize their equity stakes any time after receipt (e.g., I’d borrow money—using my equity stake in MPC as collateral—and purchase each finder’s shares as soon as any/all were for sale).
* Presumably, the equity could/would be escrowed until Biden left office. Related:
From a September 2021 article on Politico.com:
Ben Schreckinger’s “The Bidens: Inside the First Family’s Fifty-Year Rise to Power,” out today, finds evidence that some of the purported HUNTER BIDEN laptop material is genuine, including two emails at the center of last October’s controversy.
A person who had independent access to Hunter Biden’s emails confirmed he did receive a 2015 email from a Ukrainian businessman thanking him for the chance to meet Joe Biden. The same goes for a 2017 email in which a proposed equity breakdown of a venture with Chinese energy executives includes the line, “10 held by H[unter] for the big guy [i.e., for Joe Biden]?”
Re: offering said 64% is a textbook tactic:
From Averting Catastrophe: Decision Theory for COVID-19, Climate Change, and Potential Disasters of All Kinds:
In special circumstances, you might consider avoiding the worst-case scenario and thus following the maximin principle, which calls for eliminating the worst of the worst cases. The strongest cases for following that rule would involve three factors: (1) Knightian uncertainty, understood as an inability to assign probabilities to various options; (2) catastrophic or grave consequences from one option, but not from other options; and (3) low or relatively low costs, or low or relatively low benefits foregone [my emphasis], as a result of choosing the option that avoids the worst-case scenario.
Re: (3): If I pay out a 20% finders’-fee and President Biden owns 64% of MPC, I’ll own 16% of the Standard Oil of the AI economy. For me, the marginal utility of the “lost” 84% would be zero. And, in exchange for this zero, I’d have secured insurance that: 1) I perceive to have substantial value, 2) I can’t secure any other way.
— End of excerpt from an earlier write-up —
Re: keys to delegated-EWPs ASAP: 1) I’m preparing publicly to run for president in 2024, 2) you act on mFFO
— Summary (details below) —
EWPs-ASAP would be delegated by President Biden.
Keys to motivating: greed, fear.
Re: fear
Biden’s awareness of my partnership-offer would lead him to:
become aware that I’m preparing publicly to run . . .
recognize that mFFO has made many people aware of said preparing
conclude that if he rejected my offer, he’d be on the FAST track to: 3.1) having zero chance of being re-elected, 3.2) putting himself and his family at risk of suffering other negative consequences (NCs)
Re: NCs
From Appeasement: Chamberlain, Hitler, Churchill, and the Road to War:
One evening during the Phoney War [of 1939–40], members of the Foreign Office’s Political Intelligence Department discussed which [British] politicians might be considered “criminally responsible for [the] war and should be hanged on lamp-posts.” As the former journalist and spy Robert Bruce Lockhart recorded, there was consensus as to the leading candidates. Sir John Simon, Foreign Secretary between 1931 and 1935, was first to be placed in the tumbril, followed by Stanley Baldwin and Sir Samuel Hoare. Others to receive capital sentences included “Labour lunatics who wished to attack everyone and voted against rearmament, Beaverbrook (for isolation and ‘no war’ propaganda), Geoffrey Dawson and The Times,” and, of course, the Prime Minister, Neville Chamberlain.
Four months later, following the evacuation of the British Expeditionary Force from Dunkirk, a similar conversation took place between three Beaverbrook journalists standing on the roof of the offices of the Evening Standard. Appalled by the defeat—the most portentous in British history—as well as by the circumstances that had led to it, Frank Owen, a former Liberal MP, Peter Howard, a Conservative, and Michael Foot, the future leader of the Labour Party, decided to write a book shaming those men they deemed responsible for the debacle. Completed in just four days and displaying a notable talent for invective, Guilty Men sold, in the words of one of its authors, “like a pornographic classic.” By October, it had been reprinted twenty-two times and by the year’s end had succeeded in pinning the blame for the catastrophe, not just in the minds of contemporaries but for large swaths of posterity . . .
From 2019 book Bitter Reckoning: Israel Tries Holocaust Survivors as Nazi Collaborators, published by Harvard University Press:
When Allied forces broke open the gates of concentration camps in 1945, they discovered not only piles of corpses and dozens of gravely ill inmates but also survivors who were seeking revenge. Many of those who were liberated sought retribution not just against the Germans but against former Jewish functionaries in the camps and ghettos as well. Freed inmates lynched and beat Jews who, as ghetto policemen, had surrendered them and their family members to the Nazis or who, as kapos in concentration camps, had harassed or abused them.
This violence continued outside the liberated camps. To quell the brutality, leaders in the re-emerging Jewish communities in European towns and displaced persons (DP) camps channeled these disputes into honor courts, which were established to resolve ordinary disagreements among members of the community. These courts, presided over by prominent individuals, also examined the moral behavior of functionaries and issued social punishments such as public denunciations and excommunication from the community. In most instances, these judgments succeeded in curbing the violence within the community; they also helped it rebuild its self-identity as a wholesome society, free of impure elements that had contaminated it.
When survivors immigrated to Mandatory Palestine [i.e., pre-state Israel], the same kinds of intra-Jewish clashes that had been seen in Europe erupted in public spaces there. . . . Media commentators and public figures called upon the heads of the Yishuv, the Jewish community in Mandatory Palestine, to alleviate tension by establishing a public committee of socially prominent figures to deliberate these cases and issue social punishments. The leadership chose, however, not to establish such a committee, deeming social penalties insufficiently severe for those accused of cooperating with the Nazi mission to annihilate the Jewish people.
It was only after the establishment of the State of Israel and after a repeated demand from a high-ranking police officer that the Ministry of Justice drafted a bill setting up a system for trying functionaries in criminal court, where they would face their accusers. The Nazis and Nazi Collaborators Punishment Law, passed by the Knesset in 1950, inaugurated what became known as the kapo trials, which would go on for the next twenty-two years.
Title of a 2019 book:
“Promise Me You'll Shoot Yourself”: The Mass Suicide of Ordinary Germans in 1945
From Collapse of the Third Republic:
Of the principal figures in the last act of the drama of the Third Republic before the curtain fell, Pétain and Laval were tried for treason after the war, convicted and sentenced to death. The sentence of the Marshal [Pétain] was commuted by the then Provisional President, General de Gaulle, to life imprisonment on the Island of Yeu, where he died on July 23, 1951, at the age of ninety-six. Laval was executed by a firing squad at the Prison of Fresnes on October 15, 1945. He was sixty-two.
. . . Admiral Darlan, who for a time became the head of government at Vichy under Pétain and pursued a vigorous policy of collaboration with the Germans, was assassinated . . .
Re: Biden(’s family) might fear NCs via my presidency
From a 2019 article in The Atlantic:
The moment the president declares a “national emergency”—a decision that is entirely within his discretion—more than 100 special provisions become available to him. . . . For instance, the president can, with the flick of his pen, activate laws allowing him to . . . freeze Americans’ bank accounts.
From a 2016 article on Huffington Post:
Uncle Sam Needs Coders. Here's How The Military Could Draft Them.
Defense experts say we could—and should—register mid-career experts.
Old saying re: American-football players: The best ability is availability.
In the case of war (e.g., subduing T2M in part via years of military conflict with China, Russia, . . .), the best ability is sometimes expen…
From 1998 film Saving Private Ryan:
Importantly, Biden might fear the prospect of my presidency in part because, as is previewed below (pp. 223-32), it’s very likely I’d outperform his longtime colleague Hillary Clinton if she seeks the presidency in 2024.
More re: Biden’s basis for fearing my presidency is below (pp. 209-23).
Re: mFFO (part 2 of 2)
This write-up—my first re: T2M that’s designed for broad circulation—might get me killed*. So in this version of mFFO said 20% will be divided among: 1) finders, 2) people who prevent my murder en route to MPC gaining EWPs (i.e., who provide information that leads to a conviction for planning-/attempting-to-murder-me). Re: “divided”: Each person will receive an equal % of MPC (e.g., 5 finders and 5 preventers would each receive 2% (20%/10)). Re: “en route to MPC gaining”: Once MPC has EWPs, different rewards will be provided to preventers.
Help for prospective “1.0” preventers:
A group has stolen ~$350K from me. At least some of the group’s members have ties to other criminals who have violent pasts. Details below (e.g., pp. 232-7).
* From Kleptopia (my emphases):
“[Kazakhstan’s] kleptocracy had gone after a man . . . Any spook, lawyer, lobbyist or PR could see there was a fortune to be made from that. And fortunes had been made. Half a billion dollars had gone out . . .”
“[Said man] Ablyazov was the owner of BTA Bank, one of Kazakhstan’s biggest.
. . . [Ablyazov] alone stood up to the president, denouncing the promotion of Nazarbayev’s relatives and the creeping establishment of what he called a ‘clan-ocracy’. When he refused to continue in the cabinet, Nazarbayev demanded to see him. ‘You don’t respect your president,’ he ranted, ‘you don’t respect me as a person, you’re not loyal to me.’ He calmed down and asked again: ‘Come back and work for me.’ Again Ablyazov refused. ‘Well, in that case, you’re going to have to give me a chunk.’ They would be partners. The president would take half of BTA Bank. It would be a guarantee against disloyalty. Ablyazov stood firm: no. He knew change was coming. He wanted it, and found that others did too. Together, these reformers founded a political party, Democratic Choice of Kazakhstan. Nazarbayev, their enlightened ruler, crushed it.
. . . The [2008 financial] crisis had presented Nazarbayev and his court with the pretext they needed to seize BTA from Ablyazov and make it look like a rescue rather than robbery.”
Statement of the obvious
Routing this write-up to(ward) operatives of the Democratic Party who aren’t Ps is an ideal way to profit from mFFO.
KWs re: T2M IDed via mAIP
my efforts to identify online-markets that complement customized-education; burgeoning science of human reproduction; superstar-biased technological change; epigenetics; gamete market
Re: updates to this write-up
Will be published at ike1952yang2020ruscica2024.substack.com
Re: presentation-errors above and below
From 2012 book APE: Author, Publisher, Entrepreneur—How to Publish a Book, co-authored by Guy Kawasaki, a former chief evangelist at Apple:
Every time I turn in the “final” copy of a book [Kawasaki has (co-)authored twelve books], I believe that it’s perfect. In APE’s case, upward of seventy-five people reviewed the manuscript, and [co-author] Shawn [Welch] and I read it until we were sick of it. Take a wild guess at how many errors our copy editor found. The answer is 1,500. [APE is 410 pages.]
And, of course, I’m preoccupied with PSing T2M . . .
Form of pp. 55-209 below
Adapts my write-up for particular people who could’ve profited triply/4x from my work if they weren’t put off by the associated risk.
The adaptation contains a fair amount of the above (e.g., pp. 95-115, 117-125), along with other redundancies. I didn’t remove the redundancies because:
removals might’ve made parts of pp. 55-209 harder to understand
you can skim/skip the familiar parts
the less time I spend revising, the faster this document gets into circulation
. . .
(‘a + . . . + f = g’ format)
My Amazon-/Microsoft-/VC-praised AI-preneurship + my subsequent disruptive innovations + #1-best-seller on 10/31/2021 provides an IDEAL springboard for market-entry by my startup + my finders’-fee offer + $ stolen from me by relatives + customized-education-for-AI will be to the AI economy what oil has been to the industrial economy = seed-investors and/or finders gain part of a Rockefeller-ian fortune
Re: said praise
From a 2004 email sent to me by Amazon.com’s first Director of Personalization:
Frank, I just spent about an hour surfing around your website with a bit of amazement. I run a [now defunct] little company [funded entirely by Amazon] . . . We are a team of folks who worked together at Amazon.com developing that company’s personalization and recommendations team and systems. We spent about 1.5 years thinking about what we wanted to build next. We thought a lot about online education tools. We thought a lot about classified ads and job networks. We thought a lot about reputation systems. We thought a bit about personalized advertising systems. We thought a lot about blogging and social networking systems. . . . I guess I’m mostly just fascinated that we’ve been working a very similar vein to the one you describe, without having a solid name for it (we call it “the age of the amateur” or “networks of shared experiences” instead of [AI-powered] CLLCS [i.e., customized lifelong learning and career services], but believe me, we are talking about the same patterns and markets, if not in exactly the same way). Thanks for sharing what you have—it’s fascinating stuff.
From a 2004 email sent to me by an analyst at then top-VC-firm Draper Fisher Jurvetson:
Hi Frank, Thanks for your time today. If you would like to provide us with further information about your [business] plan [for providing CLLCS], we would be happy to review it in more detail.
From a 1998 email sent to me by the then Manager of the Learning Sciences and Technology Group at Microsoft Research:
Frank, you are a good man. Have you thought about joining this team? Your only alternative, of course, is venture capital. But their usual models require getting rid of the “originator” within the first eighteen months.
Re: my AI-preneurship
— Summary (some details follow; more below) —
Key goal: owning/operating (OOing) the leading online-market for AI and customized-education (i.e., OOing the Amazon of AICE (AoAICE)).
A key to OOing AoAICE is OOing the most popular implementation of my Amazon-/VC-praised* design that:
will yield a next-gen variant of LinkedIn (NGLI)
fixes the fatal flaw of 2003 “sensation” BlogShares.com
A key to OOing NGLI is providing said disruptive innovations.
* From said 2004 email sent to me by Amazon’s first Director of Personalization:
We thought a lot about reputation systems. We thought a bit about personalized advertising systems. We thought a lot about blogging and social networking systems. . . . [W]e’ve been working a very similar vein to the one you describe . . .
— Name of my planned startup —
The Opportunity Services Group (OSG)
— Re: NGLI —
OSG’s 1.0 implementation of the site/app will feature:
a market for the advertisement spaces on solo-blogger blogs (e.g., portfolio blogs)*
a virtual currency (cash transactions will be supported also)
Prices in OSG’s virtual currency (OVC) will contain/reflect only truthful peer ratings of work samples. Ratings of this kind are a top predictor of work performance, according to a much-cited meta-analysis of 85 years of personnel-selection research (6149 citations as of December 9, 2021)**. Other top predictors of work performance are often unavailable (e.g., test results). So OVC prices will be ideal for ranking people within individual job/skill categories. These rankings will make it much easier for Jane Q. Upwardly-Mobile to identify others who (can) best complement her (ditto for John Q.).
* An ad space sold for OVC will typically be on the homepage (i.e., front page) of the seller’s blog; key reasons: 1) sales of spaces for OVC will occur via weekly auctions, 2) per week, each blogger will be able to sell only one ad space for OVC (which space is sold can vary weekly). Keywords re: said auctions: sealed-bid, second-price; combinatorial auctions via fractional allocations, so each week’s auction will provide a “spot” market and an “up-front” market; traders will make these markets “information-efficient.”
** From 2015 book Work Rules!: Insights from Inside Google That Will Transform How You Live and Lead, by Google’s then head of “People Operations”:
. . .
From the Schmidt-Hunter paper linked-to above:
— Name of OSG’s planned site/app —
Adver-ties
— Re: Adver-ties will be a debugged version of BlogShares.com —
From a 2003 article* on rediff.com:
The latest sensation that’s grabbing the attention of netizens is BlogShares . . . an online stock market in which you get to speculate on the future of your favourite blogs. . . . Every player gets 500 BlogShare dollars upon signup.
. . . How you play BlogShares depends on what you want from it. For some, the objective is to get their blogs on the Top 100 Index.
. . . At the end of a three-week phase of beta testing, there were a staggering 40,000 listed blogs. Over 5000 active players carry out thousands of transactions every day . . .
* See the References section.
— Re: the fatal flaw of BlogShares —
The price mechanism was easily gamed. From the rediff.com article:
[Inbound] links are the assets that drive valuations.
— Re: bloggers will be able to parlay a high and/or fast-rising ad rate in OVC into cash via: 1) sales of other ad spaces, 2) affiliate-marketing commissions, 3) subscriptions —
KWs: influencer marketing (IM), antidote to the epidemic of IM fraud. Some details follow; more are (linked-to) below.
Izea: 71% of influencers had a blog in 2018; 39% of advertisers sponsored blog posts in 2018; 67% of social-media users in 2020 aspired to be paid social-media influencers.
Mediakix: 44% of advertisers considered blogs to be among the social-media channels that were most important for IM in 2020 (Facebook: 45%; Twitter: 33%; LinkedIn: 19%); 50% of advertisers considered fraud the #1 drawback of IM in 2020.
— Re: a high and/or fast-rising ad rate in OVC will be achievable partly via OSG’s prediction markets (OPMs) —
High prices/rankings in OPMs will serve as PageRank-like pointers to high-quality blogs. Details are linked-to below. Keywords: OPM prices denominated in OVC.
From 2018 book Prediction Machines: The Simple Economics of Artificial Intelligence, published by Harvard Business School Press:
AI is a prediction technology . . .
. . . What will new AI technologies make so cheap? Prediction.
. . . When prediction is cheap, there will be more prediction and more complements to prediction.
— More precedents for Adver-ties —
Google’s PageRank search algorithm (first use of hyperlinks to inform search results)
peer assessments associated with popular MOOCs (massively open online courses)
LinkExchange.com
GitHub.com
PageRank 1.0 was based on insights from social-network analysis that were decades old when PageRank was conceived. (Similarly, LinkedIn et al. could’ve productized said 85-years-of-personnel-selection-research long ago.)
From a 1998 paper co-authored by Google’s founders:
There has been a great deal of work on academic-citation analysis [Gar[19]95]. Goffman [Gof71] . . .
Number of commercial search-engines launched before Google: 20.
From 2013 paper “Tuned Models of Peer Assessment in MOOCs,” co-authored by several employees of MOOC provider Coursera ($447M raised):
Peer assessment—which has been historically used for logistical, pedagogical, metacognitive, and affective benefits . . .—offers a promising solution that can scale the grading of complex assignments in courses with tens or even hundreds of thousands of students.
From the 1998 article in The Wall Street Journal titled “Microsoft Buys LinkExchange For About $250 Million in Stock”:
LinkExchange . . . places ad banners on about 400,000 Web sites, though many of those sites are obscure personal homepages [e.g., blogs] . . .
LinkExchange, founded in 1996, has taken a unique approach that has allowed it to grow its network of sites very quickly. The company allows member Web sites to advertise for free on other sites throughout the LinkExchange network—provided they agree to return the favor.
From a 2016 article on the website of Harvard Business Review (my emphases):
How can companies get a better idea of which skills employees and job candidates have? . . . One potential model is GitHub.
. . . Ideally, this [desired variant of GitHub] would also be a social network and e-portfolio, allowing an employer to see samples of work and trust that the skills presented had been validated by others. (The social component of GitHub is important to underscore because other developers validate and consume another developer’s work. This contrasts starkly with the “skills”—if we can call them that—that users can tag so quickly on LinkedIn, such as “higher education” or even “ninja.”)
— More re: the business case for Adver-ties —
LinkedIn was acquired by Microsoft for $26.2 billion in 2016.
Title of a 2018 article on TechRepublic.com:
Why Linkedin + GitHub profiles could be the hidden gem in $7.5B Microsoft acquisition [of GitHub]
— Re: popularizing Adver-ties will be foundational for popularizing OSG’s market for AI & CE —
Outputs from activity at and around Adver-ties (e.g., prices) will be inputs to OPMs. After Adver-ties catalyzes the popularization of 1.0 OPMs, outputs from activity at and around the OPMs (e.g., 2.0 OPMs) will be inputs to Adver-ties (i.e., the popularization of Adver-ties and OPMs will become mutually reinforcing). Both sets of said outputs will be inputs to OSG’s market for AI/CE (e.g., the outputs will help/enable consumers of AI/CE to feel confident that they’re receiving value for their expenditures).
Precedent for said dependencies between markets
financial-capital markets (e.g., prices output by an equities market are inputs to an equity-derivatives market)
Re: outputs from Adver-ties being inputs to OSG’s AI/CE market
From the 2015 article in The New York Times titled “Finding a Career Track in LinkedIn Profiles”:
[M]uch of what we need to know about the changing labor market is crowdsourced in real time. And many of those digital breadcrumbs end up in LinkedIn profiles.
From a 2015 interview of Michael Horn, co-author of 2008 book Disrupting Class: How Disruptive Innovation Will Change the Way the World Learns:
[W]e’re really in the early beginnings of the dramatic revolution that we’ve seen in a lot of other technology sectors where really smart recommendation engines come in and assist the student in picking and choosing their unique path. . . .
In order to really go towards adaptive learning, you need huge numbers of students on your platform . . .
We need platforms that can collect the data we need and can make better use of data so that we can figure out different ways to serve different learners.
Disrupting Class was co-authored by the late Harvard Business School professor Clayton Christensen, originator of the canonical models of disruptive innovation.
From 2016 book Thank You for Being Late: An Optimist’s Guide to Thriving in the Age of Accelerations:
At the high end of the labor ladder, professionals already have a global intelligent algorithm to draw on: LinkedIn, the career professional social networking site. But its founders now want to extend that intelligent algorithm to the whole world of work by creating a global “economic graph.” Here is how LinkedIn’s CEO, Jeff Weiner, describes it on his company blog:
Reid Hoffman and the other founders of LinkedIn initially created a platform to help people tap the value of their professional networks, and developed an infrastructure that could map those relationships up to three degrees. In doing so, they provided the foundation for what would eventually become the world’s largest professional graph.
Our current long-term vision at LinkedIn is to extend this professional graph into an economic graph by digitally manifesting every economic opportunity [i.e., job] in the world (full-time and temporary); the skills required to obtain those opportunities; the profiles for every company in the world offering those opportunities; the professional profiles for every one of the roughly 3.3 billion people in the global workforce; and subsequently overlay the professional knowledge of those individuals and companies onto the “graph” [so that individual professionals could share their expertise and experience with anyone].
Anyone will be able to access intelligent networks such as LinkedIn’s global graph, see what skills are in demand or available, and even offer up online courses. You might teach knitting or editing or gardening or plumbing or engine repair. So many more people will be incentivized to offer their expertise to others, and the market for it will be vastly expanded.
Added Weiner:
With the existence of an economic graph, we could look at where the jobs are in any given locality, identify the fastest growing jobs in that area, the skills required to obtain those jobs, the skills of the existing aggregate workforce there, and then quantify the size of the gap. Even more importantly, we could then provide a feed of that data to local vocational training facilities, junior colleges, etc., so they could develop a just-in-time curriculum that provides local job seekers the skills they need to obtain the jobs that are and will be, and not just the jobs that once were.
Separately, we could provide current college students the ability to see the career paths of all of their school’s alumni by company, geography, and functional role.
From 2018 book A New U: Faster + Cheaper Alternatives to College, by a VC whose focus is education:
“LinkedIn CEO Jeff Weiner’s vision for an ‘economic graph’ is the clearest expression by any technology company of the competency-marketplace future.”
“[T]echnological developments will complete the faster + cheaper revolution. The resulting ‘competency marketplaces’ . . .”
“The historic disconnect between higher education and employer needs is a data problem. . . .
Technology has begun to change this . . . first via the increasing availability of competency data: e-portfolios . . .”
Re: CE-for-AI will be to the AI economy what oil has been to the industrial economy
— Re: CE-for-AI —
KWs: customized bundles of data, software and services, purchased to: 1) launch each buyer’s “1.0” AI, 2) augment buyers’ AI (e.g., software purchased to add features to a 1.0 AI, data that a 2.0 AI can learn from).
From 2015 book Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, co-authored by University of Pennsylvania professor of psychology and political science Philip Tetlock:
Doug knows that when people read for pleasure they naturally gravitate to the like-minded. So he created a database containing hundreds of information sources—from The New York Times to obscure blogs—that are tagged by their ideological orientation, subject matter, and geographical origin, then wrote a program that selects what he should read next using criteria that emphasize diversity. Thanks to Doug’s simple invention, he is sure to constantly encounter different perspectives.
From 2018 book Superminds: The Surprising Power of People and Computers Thinking Together, by the MIT professor who’s the Director of MIT’s Center for Collective Intelligence:
What if each participant [in a market] has his or her own “stable” of [AI-powered software ro]bots? Then participants will compete to create smarter and smarter bots [my emphasis]. If your bots are better than mine at making accurate predictions, then you will make more money than I will.
. . . Today’s financial markets are leading the way, with investment managers increasingly relying on quantitative, often AI-based, trading algorithms.
— Re: CE-for-AI will be the oil of the AI economy —
From Nobel laureate economist Paul Romer’s entry on Economic Growth in the 2008 edition of The Concise Encyclopedia of Economics:
[T]he country that takes the lead in the twenty-first century will be the one that implements an innovation that more effectively supports the production of new ideas in the private sector [e.g., AI-produced ideas].
Re: Romer (“Re: AI-produced ideas” follows)
From 2006 book Knowledge and the Wealth of Nations:
This book tells the story of a single technical paper in economics [Romer (1990): Endogenous Technical Change] . . .
. . . Romer won a race of sorts, a race within the community of university-based research economists to make sense of the process of globalization at the end of the twentieth century and to say something practical and new about how to encourage economic development . . .
From 2004 book The Mystery of Economic Growth, by a Harvard economist (my emphases):
Interest in growth theory abruptly revived . . . in the 1980s. The two key papers were by Romer (1986) and Lucas (1988). . . . Romer also initiated the second wave of research on the “new” growth theory.
. . . A more detailed study of the U.S. economy is provided by [Stanford economist Charles] Jones (2002). He found that between 1950 and 1993 improvements in educational attainments, which amounted to an increase of four years of schooling on average, explain about 30 percent of growth of output per hour. The remaining 70 percent is attributable to the rise in the stock of ideas that was produced in the United States, France, West Germany, the United Kingdom, and Japan.
Re: AI-produced ideas
From a 2018 article in The Atlantic:
[A] recently designed [AI] program, AlphaZero . . . plays chess at a level superior to chess masters and in a style not previously seen in chess history. On its own, in just a few hours of self-play, it achieved a level of skill that took human beings 1,500 years to attain. Only the basic rules of the game were provided to AlphaZero. Neither human beings nor human-generated data were part of its process of self-learning.
From November 2020 on news.google.com:
From 2021 book The Science and Technology of Growing Young: An Insider’s Guide to the Breakthroughs that Will Dramatically Extend Our Lifespan . . . and What You Can Do Right Now (my emphases):
Insilico calls its AI drug discovery tool Generative Tensorial Reinforcement Learning (GENTRL). Once trained, the algorithm starts to “imagine” new molecules with the desired properties. This process not only vastly reduces the time it takes to discover molecular candidates and enables the creation of molecules that do not yet exist in molecular libraries; it does so with a much higher degree of success than conventional trial and error, and at a much lower cost. Insilico has used its AI to find better alternatives to existing medications as well: it developed a precision medicine system called Inclinico that predicts which patients are most likely to respond to a particular drug. It provides this capability as a service to pharmaceutical companies but also ranks the drugs by their predicted ability to target the mother of all diseases—aging itself.
Insilico is not the only biotech company using AI to discover, create, and optimize pharmaceutical treatments. There are already more than two hundred start-ups and multiple big-pharma companies pursuing an ambitious set of goals that will soon completely disrupt the pharmaceutical industry.
More re: OSG’s offerings will ADVANCE human-longevity science*, and medical research more generally
youinsimulation.substack.com/p/re-prc-etc-part-2
See the section titled “Re: OSG’s offerings a/o clones will advance LS”.
* More about this science is below (pp. 211-3).
Re: “my subsequent disruptive innovations + . . . + my finders’-fee offer”
Details follow, via copies of the:
email I sent to particular literary agents
66-page pdf I attached to each email [pdf-copy below is 97 pages]
Subject of said email: Via my Amazon-/Microsoft-/VC-praised* AI-preneurship, my literary agent (tbd) can profit doubly
Body:
* Links to the praise are below.
Hello [rep of an-author-whose-work-overlaps-mine],
Details re: “Via . . . doubly” are attached (66-page pdf). Excerpt below. Not included in the pdf:
An IDEAL lead-in to my proposed book (MPB) just debuted at #1:
Re: “not included”: I discovered/read State of Terror 2-3 days after I completed the 66-pager.
Re: “IDEAL”: See the below copy of my email to the agent of Clinton’s co-author.
Re: “lead-in”: MPB could debut soon as a serial novel published online (i.e., chapter one could soon . . .).
Re: “could”: My primary focus from 2006 to 2016 was developing as a writer/ creator/producer of serial novels (details below).
Re: “producer”: In 2006 I recognized that launching/running a particular variant of Alloy Entertainment would HELP my planned startup (MPS) disrupt some of MPS’s competitors (details below).
Possible title of MPB: State of (T)error: The Enemies Within. (Readers of Clinton’s SoT would understand TEW; details below.)
Important:
There’s a $trong case for me drafting behind SoT without working with SoT’s co-authors.
As is previewed below, being attached to MPB could expose my lit agent and my publisher to a particular risk.
This risk would be reduced/eliminated if MPB appeared to be self-published (i.e., if my publisher funded the marketing of MPB, but . . .).
Said email-copy follows (includes excerpt from 66-pager).
Subject: Via my Amazon-/Microsoft-/VC-praised* AI-preneurship, my lit agent (tbd) can profit doubly**
Body:
* Links to the praise are below.
** triply if my work becomes a key input to a sequel (e.g., to State of Terror 2)
Hello David,
Details re: “Via . . . doubly” are attached (66-page pdf). Excerpt below. In particular, the excerpt previews:
the threat to many people (T2M) that I identified via my AI-preneurship (mAIP)
a/the key to preventing/subduing T2M: my (literary) work that builds on mAIP (mAIP+)
Said 66-pager is my query to literary agents that I completed 2-3 days before I:
discovered/read State of Terror (SoT)
recognized that, as is shown below:
T2M is a precise fit for the threat previewed at the end of SoT
said end is ideally suited to yield SoT 2
mAIP+ would FIT SoT 2
T2M and mAIP+ STRENGTHEN the case for SoT 2
Said excerpt . . .
— End of excerpt from 237-page pdf —
Whew! :-)
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